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Research Finding - Who Makes Money Punting
Our national
survey of Australian punters has revealed how many bettors believe that they make a profit from their betting on horse racing.
The 'Australian Horse Racing and Betting Survey' respondents included punters of all types including some
professionals, semi professionals, those who took their pastime of punting
pretty seriously and those who had a more casual approach to their betting.
Horse racing web site Aussieraces.com surveyed the on line punters and asked
them whether overall, they made a profit, about broke even, or made a loss on
their betting -
Total %
(a) Overall,
I make a profit on my betting 107
27
(b) Overall, I about break even on my betting
178 46
(c) Overall, I make a loss on my betting 107 27
392 100
Only 27% of the punters surveyed believed that they made a profit from their
betting. However, there was one group of punters who were much more likely to
make a profit than others – more about them later.
That nearly half of the respondents surveyed (46%) reported that they ‘about
break even on their betting’ indicates that punters can sometimes see their betting through 'rose coloured glasses' - actual figures from corporate bookmakers suggest that nowhere near this number 'about break even on their betting'.
However, the figure of 46% should not be taken at face value - whilst it does indicate that punters can sometimes view their betting bottom line in a more positive light than they should, it also suggests that they are more likely to remember wins rather than losses. This ready recollection of winners tends to put a positive glow on the perceived bottom line.
The phrase 'I about broke even' is also 'punter speak'. Ask any punter how his betting went on a particular race day and 'I about broke even' will be a common reply. What he is actually saying is 'I about broke even or made a slight loss' - most punters understand and acknowledge this 'punter speak', whilst a racing outsider will more than likely take the phrase 'I about broke even' at face value.
A further
27% of survey respondents simply acknowledged that they made a loss on their
betting but that they still enjoyed having a regular bet.
Respondents
were also asked what type of punter they considered themselves to be – a
serious punter who studied the form in depth, a casual but informed punter, or a casual
punter who didn’t study the form. By far the greatest number identified
themselves as being ‘casual but informed’ bettors -
I consider my self to be - Total %
(a) A serious punter who studies the form in depth 140 36
(b) A casual but informed punter 237 60
(c) A casual punter who doesn’t study the form 15 4 392 100
Of those who described themselves as being ‘casual punters who don’t study the
form’, none reported that they made a profit from their betting. The ‘casual
but informed punters’ who made up the largest group didn’t fare much better –
of the 237 respondents who described themselves as being in this category of
punter only 9% believed that they made a profit -
Overall, I make a profit from my betting -
%
(a) Serious
punters who study the form in depth 56
(b) Casual but informed punters 9
(c) Casual punters who don’t study the form Nil
As the
above results show, more than half of the respondents who considered themselves
to be ‘serious punters who study the form in depth’ reported that they made a
profit from their betting.
Whilst punters can often put a bit of a positive spin on their betting exploits and
are sometimes perceived to ‘kid themselves’ that they make more money from their
betting than they actually do, they are generally more realistic and grounded than they are given
credit for – as evidenced by the fact that of the 252 bettors in the survey who
described themselves as being either (b) ‘casual but informed punters’ or (c)
‘casual punters who don’t study the form’, 91% of them readily
admitted that they did not make money from their betting on horse racing.
Of course punters don’t only bet to win money.
Although that reason is foremost, there are many other reasons - as Aussieraces.com
researchers found in the survey when they asked bettors the question ‘Other
than to win money, why else do you bet?’. More about that interesting subject
another time.
The
stats from this survey that should stick in the reader’s mind are these -
Overall, I make a profit from my betting -
(a) Serious punters who study the form in depth 56%
(b) Casual but informed punters 9%
In any endeavour, the
more time and effort that a person puts in - the better outcome he or
she get is likely to get. In the case of the punter, judging by
the survey responses, there is a real link between the amount of time
and
effort put into form study and the likelihood of making a profit from
betting
on horse racing. No real surprise there – you don’t have to be Ironstein
to
know that.
So the above figures reinforce what we already knew - that for those who are willing to put in the time and effort on form study or who can gain access to quality information in this area - there are real rewards to be had from investing on horse racing. On the other hand, for those who take a more casual approach to their betting, actual punter experience as documented in this survey suggests that for them, profits are unlikely to be made in the long term.
Whilst the greater majority of survey respondents (73%) admitted that they did
not make money from their betting on horse racing, most of these punters appear to hold firm to the idea that you can
make a profit. For those who have this hope in their
hearts and betting dollars in their pockets – yes, it can be done – it just takes a lot of time,
effort and form study – so say the respondents from this survey who do just
that.
For more information about the Australian Horse Racing and Betting Survey and details on how you can obtain your copy of the 50 page report from the study please see Survey Report.
www.aussieraces.com January 2012
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