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Aussieraces.com Caulfield, Saturday, February 4th 2012
Today's Racing
We got onto a good winner in Over Quota at Sandown Lakeside last Saturday. Rated as the $7.00 favourite for his race by Aussieraces, Over Quota scored at the top value odds of $15.00.
Today at Caulfield we've got a Dead 4 rated surface and fine weather.
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Caulfield Race 1 Shadwell Farm 1100M 1.10 P.M | |
Advanced Speed Map February 4th 2012
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Tempo…Average | |
Quick Form Facts Best On Class 3. Star Of Giselle - Is the only Listed grade winner in the race. Best Weighted 3. Star Of Giselle - Comes in well on the minimum. Best On Times 5. Johannapine - Ran 2nd in slick time Flemington. Best Sectionals 5. Johannapine - Recorded the best final 400m of race last st. Best Strike Rate 5. Johannapine - Won 2 of 3 starts - should have won all three. Best Run In Race 6. Silver Strike - Can get a nice sit on the speed from gate. Best Last Run 5. Johannapine - Unlucky and should have scored at Flem. Best Form Lines Nil Best Rated 3. Star Of Giselle from 5. Johannapine 4 Silkstone Special. Best Backed 3. Star Of Giselle - Firmed from $3.90 into $2.30.
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Selections Aussie Market 3. Star Of Giselle $2.20 $2.30 5. Johannapine $2.60 $2.00 4. Silkstone Special $11.00 $9.00 6. Silver Strike $26.00 $26.00
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Best Bet Star Of Giselle - There have been a number of scratchings from this event which have actually enhanced the chances of our selection as she gets back and with the smaller field she can race a bit closer to the pace. Star Of Giselle is fit and ready to win after two runs this time in. She'll appreciate the step up in distance from 1000 to 1100 metres here - the only previous time she ran over the trip she scored by 6 lengths.
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Caulfield Race 3 Shadwell Estate 1700M 2.30 P.M. | |
Advanced Speed Map February 4th 2012
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Quick Form Facts Best On Class Nil Best Weighted 3. There's Only One - Comes in well here rising only 1/2 kg. Best On Times Nil. Best Sectionals 9. Chasse - Recorded the best race sectionals last run. Best Strike Rate 3. There's Only One - Won 6 of 12 for a 50% win rate. Best Run In Race 8. Port Vell - Can get into a good spot from his gate. Best Last Run 11. Prizum - 3 wide all the way but still won easily at Geelong. Best Form Lines Nil Best Rated 3. There's Only One from 11. Prizum & 9. Chasse. Best Backed 3. There's Only One - Has shortened from $4.00 into $3.00
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Selections Aussie Market 3. There's Only One $3.50 $3.00 11. Prizum $5.50 $5.50 9. Chasse $5.50 $4.60 8. Port Vell $6.00 $7.00
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Best Bet There's Only One - This Peter Moody trained mare got back in the run but then got home gamely to take fourth place in the Listed Chester Manifold Stakes at Flemington last start. She drops significantly in class to an 89 Restricted grade race today but rises only half a kilo in the weights - so she looks well placed in this event. The step up in distance from 1400 to 1700 metres suits - she won at all of her three previous runs beyond 1400 metres. We know this mare is pretty smart - before her last start she won five city races in a row - which is no mean feat. She also often displays good acceleration and records fast final sectionals in her races - more signs that she is an above average galloper.
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Caulfield Race 6 United Arab Emirates 1000M 4.30 P.M. | |
Advanced Speed Map February 4th 2012
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Tempo…Average | |
Quick Form Facts Best On Class Nil Best Weighted Nil Best On Times Nil Best Sectionals Nil Best Strike Rate 1. Bel Sprinter - Won 4 of 5 starts for a 80% win rate. Best Run In Race 1. Bel Sprinter - Can get a good trail on the speed. Best Last Run Nil Best Form Lines Nil Best Rated 7. Kulgrinda from 8. General Truce and 2. Canali. Best Backed Nil
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Selections Aussie Market 7. Kulgrinda $4.20 $4.60 1. Bel Sprinter $4.50 $2.25 8. General Truce $7.00 $11.00 2. Canali $9.00 $13.00
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Best Bet Kulgrinda - With many of the leading fancies resuming from spells in this race there are not a lot of recent pointers to help us pick the winner. Kulgrinda is one of those resuming from a break and she 'flies' when fresh. She won easily at her previous two first up runs - by margins of 3.25 and 2.75 lengths. Trainer Peter Moody agrees with our analysis - yesterday he said "She's very good fresh - she's a very good mare and is ready to run super first up". The outside gate is not ideal - but with a long run to the first and only turn - she shouldn't have to cover too much ground in the run.
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Caulfield Race 7 Reann Victoria Cup 2000M 5.10 P.M. | |
Advanced Speed Map February 4th 2012
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Quick Form Facts Best On Class - 1. Sea Galleon - Is the only Listed grade winner in the event. Best Weighted - Nil Best On Times - 5. Bolton - Ran only .83 seconds outside the track record Flem. Best Sectionals - Nil Best Strike Rate - 4. Royal Mail - Won 5 of 14 for a 35% win rate. Best Run In Race 4. Royal Mail - Can get a good sit on the speed from barrier 4. Best Form Lines 1. Sea Galleon - Horses he beat last start have run well since. Best Last Run Nil Best Rated 4. Royal Mail from 5. Bolton & 1. Sea Galleon. Best Backed Nil
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Selections Aussie Market 4. Royal Mail $3.70 $3.80 5. Bolton $4.80 $3.20 1. Sea Galleon $5.50 $3.70 7. Apres $8.00 $6.50
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Best Bet Royal Mail - This highly consistent galloper settled back, but when his rider saw that no one wanted to lead he zoomed around the field to take up the running at the 1400 metre mark at Felmington at his last start. He was joined and overtaken with 300 metres to go but then found another wind to kick away and score by 1.75 lengths. Royal Mail adapted to the muddling tempo well on that occasion and with little pace in today's race we could see a similar scenario. Royal Mail loves racing on firm track surfaces - he's won 4 of his past 6 starts - all the 4 wins were on firm turf and the 2 times he got beaten were on rain effected ground. He'll certainly have conditions to suit at Caulfield today.
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Please Note – Aussieraces.com takes every care in preparing the racing information we provide for subscribers. Our racing information is double checked prior to being uploaded to the internet. Once on the net, our information is checked again for accuracy. Despite this thorough quality control procedure, we urge you to check official horse numbers and race start times prior to investing. Aussieraces.com takes no responsibility for any inaccuracies that may exist in the information provided.
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Sandown Race 1 Premier Signs Hcp. 1400M 1.14 P.M. | |
Advanced Speed Map September 7th 2011
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Tempo…Average | |
Best On Class Best Weighted Best On Times Best Sectionals Best Strike Rate Best Run In Race Best Form Lines Best Last Run Best Rated Best Backed
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Selections Aussie Market 7. Offer $6.00 $16.40 6. Heaven’s Choice $7.00 $5.90 2. Plucky Belle $7.00 $1.90 3. Vittoria $8.00 $5.00
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Best Bet Offer
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Please Note – Aussieraces.com takes every care in preparing the racing information we provide for subscribers. Our racing information is double checked prior to being uploaded to the internet. Once on the net, our information is checked again for accuracy. Despite this thorough quality control procedure, we urge you to check official horse numbers and race start times prior to investing. Aussieraces.com takes no responsibility for any inaccuracies that may exist in the information provided.
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